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Chile is holding its presidential election on Sunday where candidates are competing with tough-on-crime and immigration proposals. Four years after the election of progressive Gabriel Boric,...
The polls just can’t win in the court of public opinion — the very thing they’re designed to study. They are either maddening in finding a...
The polls tend to err as a group in one direction or the other, so a fairly decisive win by either candidate is still possible.
Donald J. Trump has improved his standing in Pennsylvania even as late-deciding voters appear to be breaking for Kamala Harris.
A rise for Kamala Harris in the Sun Belt, and a dip in the Northern swing states.
Skewed polls and anonymous betting markets are building up Republicans’ expectations. Donald Trump could use that to challenge the result.
To make polling better, you have to figure out what went wrong in the first place.
“Keep calm and throw it in the average” is the best way for a voracious consumer of polling data to stay sane this election season. The...
The polls are not precise enough for a 0.2-point edge to convey meaningful information.
Supporters say the platforms are better at predicting the election. But questions have arisen about recent big bets, as they show a big lead for Donald...
