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Billionaire Game Theory + We Are Not Ready for A.G.I. + Election Betting Markets Get Weird

Listen to and follow ‘Hard Fork’Apple | Spotify | Amazon | YouTube | iHeartRadio Hosted by Kevin Roose and Casey Newton Produced by Whitney Jones and Rachel Cohn Edited by Jen Poyant Engineered by Chris Wood Original music by Dan PowellMarion Lozano …

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Listen to and follow ‘Hard Fork’
Apple | Spotify | Amazon | YouTube | iHeartRadio

Hosted by Kevin Roose and Casey Newton

Produced by Whitney Jones and Rachel Cohn

Edited by Jen Poyant

Engineered by Chris Wood

Original music by Dan PowellMarion Lozano and Diane Wong

Last week, Jeff Bezos canceled the Washington Post editorial board’s plan to endorse Kamala Harris. Are tech billionaires hedging their bets in case Donald Trump wins? Then, Miles Brundage, a former OpenAI senior adviser on artificial general intelligence readiness, stops by to tell us how his old company is doing when it comes to being ready for superintelligence, and whether we should all keep saving for retirement. And finally, David Yaffe-Bellany, a Times technology reporter, joins us to explore the rise of Polymarket, a crypto-powered betting platform, and discuss whether prediction markets can tell us who is going to win the election.

Guests:

  • Miles Brundage, former OpenAI senior adviser for A.G.I. readiness.

  • David Yaffe-Bellany, technology reporter for The New York Times.

Additional Reading:

  • Jeff Bezos, Elon Musk and the Billions of Ways to Influence an Election

  • Miles Brundage’s on Why He’s Leaving OpenAI

  • The Crypto Website Where the Election Odds Swing in Trump’s Favor

Credit…Photo Illustration by The New York Times; Photo: Clodagh Kilcoyne/Reuters


Credits

“Hard Fork” is hosted by Kevin Roose and Casey Newton and produced by Davis Land and Rachel Cohn. The show is edited by Jen Poyant. Engineering by Chris Wood and original music by Dan Powell, Marion Lozano and Diane Wong. Fact-checking by Ena Alvarado.

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Special thanks to Paula Szuchman, Pui-Wing Tam, Dahlia Haddad and Jeffrey Miranda.

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