Thursday Briefing

Early voting is underway in many states.Credit…Bing Guan for The New York Times

The global impact of the U.S. election

The world doesn’t pick the American president, but it will live with the consequences of whoever is elected — Vice President Kamala Harris or Donald Trump. Times correspondents around the world gave their views on what’s at stake. Read their full answers here.

“Israelis, if they could, would vote by a large margin for Trump — the polls show that very clearly. But whoever wins, the long-term impact will probably be limited. Israeli society, not to mention the government, is more opposed to Palestinian statehood and a two-state solution than it has been in decades. No U.S. president is likely to change that.” — Patrick Kingsley, Jerusalem bureau chief

“There is one way in which a Trump victory would unambiguously strengthen Putin: It would mean an America that’s far less engaged in the world and in Europe, which Putin sees as his rightful sphere of interest.” — Anton Troianovski, Moscow bureau chief

“Donald Trump says ‘tariff’ is ‘the most beautiful word in the dictionary. More beautiful than love, more beautiful than respect.’ So this election is, among other things, a referendum on the entire global trade system, with U.S. voters making a choice that could affect the entire world.” — Ana Swanson, domestic correspondent covering trade and international economics

“This is perhaps the first truly existential election for the climate. The U.S. is the world’s biggest historic carbon emitter, and its second-biggest right now after China. What it does at home will impact the entire world’s ability to avert catastrophic climate change.” — Somini Sengupta, international climate reporter

For more: Read our interview with Steven Erlanger, The Times’s chief diplomatic correspondent in Europe, about how Europe sees the election.