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How the Oct. 7 Attacks Transformed the Middle East

With an Israel-Hamas cease-fire set to begin, the shock waves from their war have reshaped the region in unexpected ways.

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When Hamas militants led a deadly cross-border raid on Oct. 7, 2023, they triggered a war with Israel that has devastated Gaza. They also set off shock waves that have reshaped the Middle East in unexpected ways.

Powerful alliances were upended. Long-established “red lines” were crossed. A decades-old dictatorship at the heart of the region was swept away.

Fifteen months after the October attacks, with a cease-fire deal between Israel and Hamas set to start on Sunday, here is a look at how the region has been radically transformed.

Changes in the Middle East

  • Israel
  • Hamas
  • Lebanon
  • Syria
  • Iran

Israel

Israel has reasserted its military dominance but may face heavy diplomatic and domestic costs.

The country’s leaders treated the Hamas-led attacks as an existential threat and have been determined to defeat Hamas and weaken its main backer, Iran. Israel has not only succeeded in debilitating Hamas in Gaza but has also decimated the Lebanese Shiite group Hezbollah and dealt a heavy blow to Iran’s network of Middle Eastern allies.

Protesters in Tel Aviv on Wednesday called for the release of hostages. A banner reads, “Get them out of Gaza and get out of Gaza.” Credit…Avishag Shaar-Yashuv for The New York Times